Full Notification

The latest forecast models show the increasing potential for a coastal storm that could bring heavy precipitation and strong winds to parts of the local area starting Thursday night and continuing through Friday night before ending Saturday morning.

As high pressure moves north of New England, low pressure is forecast to develop off the Mid-Atlantic coast and intensify as it moves northeast toward the 40 degrees north latitude 70 degrees west longitude benchmark:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=3&fcolor=wbg

Confidence is increasing, based on the latest forecast information, that snow will develop Thursday night with minor to moderate accumulations by Friday morning. Snow will mix with or change to rain on Friday before changing back to snow Friday night. Significant snowfall and strong winds with near blizzard conditions are likely Friday night. There is still some uncertainty as to the track and intensity of the storm, but there is increasing confidence that the worst conditions will occur over eastern portions of the Tri-State area by Friday night.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php

Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also possible around the times of high tide Thursday night through Friday evening.