WEATHER ALERT

Winter Storm Arrives Sunday... Attention turns to the Sunday storm. The forecast remains similar to yesterday, though the low pressure is likely to track a little closer to the coast, which limits the higher-end potential and increases the chance for mixing. Thus, we're keeping the 2.5 - 5.0" forecast, but in general the 4.0 - 5.0" part has a lower chance to occur. Overall, this will begin midday and likely be intervals of snow/mix into the afternoon. The peak of the snow will be the late day - evening when the bulk of the accumulation will occur. Snow will trend from wetter (with mixing) to fluffier. Post-storm temps sharply fall leading to a quick hard freeze-up of anything not cleared. Additionally, gusty winds could lead to minor blowing/drifting.

DRIVING CONDITIONS: The storm will arrive late morning and impact the afternoon driving. Late Sunday evening and night conditions may become hazardous with icy conditions. 

 

Overview
Start Time	End Time	Total	Snow/Sleet Confidence
Sunday 10:00 AM - 1:00 PM	Sunday 8:00 PM - 11:00 PM	2.5 - 5.0" Snow/Sleet Highest towards PA	Coating - 1.0"	10%
			1.0 - 2.5"	30%
			2.5 - 5.0"	45%
			5.0 - 8.0"	15%

Pavement Details	Accumulation	1.5 - 3.5" Snow	First Inch	Sun 2:00 PM - 5:00 PM
	Comments	Pavements can struggle / be variable to start with mix, before covering under better rates and cooling later in the day.

HAZARDS
Hazard	Threat	Description
Ice	High	Low risk for a slick spot post rain Sat Eve... Temps crash as snow exits Sun Eve, bringing a hard freeze-up of snow/slush.
Snowfall Rate	Moderate	Mixing likely at times with snow during the day. Potential for heaviest (and mostly / all snow) especially late afternoon - evening, 0.5 - 1.0" / hr.
Blowing Snow	Low	Wetter daytime accum with some mixing, then snow ends fluffier in the evening, will blow around a bit afterwards.
Extreme Cold	Moderate	Temps Sunday night plummet with wind chills dropping into the single digits.

Forecast
Saturday	Mostly cloudy. Sprinkles and scattered rain showers possible midday, bit higher chance afternoon. Trace - 0.10" of Rain     High 42 - 46 | S winds 5 - 10 mph
Sat Night	Any sprinkles quickly end, then patchy fog and turning partly cloudy. 40% chance for a Trace of Rain     Low 30 - 34 | Light winds become NW 5 - 10 mph late
Sunday	Clouds thicken. A wintry mix of snow, some rain / sleet begins 10AM - 1PM, turns moderate to heavy at times afternoon and varies between all snow and mix. 1.0 - 3.0" of Snow/Sleet (through sunset) | 30% chance for Patchy Ice (during mixing)     High 33 - 37, fall to 28 - 32 late | N wind 5 - 10 mph, gusts 15 late
Sun Night	Evening moderate snow ends 8 - 11PM, then becoming mainly clear, breezy and sharply colder. 2.5 - 5.0" of Snow (leaning lower half, and in general, totals highest towards PA) Hard freeze-up of slushy / snow covered surfaces as temps sharply fall   Low 16 - 20
Monday	Mostly sunny morning mixes with intervals of afternoon clouds and a flurry. Breezy and very cold.       High 23 - 27

Instructions:

Snow is expected Sunday afternoon and evening. Watch for hazardous travel conditions.