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A deep storm developing in the Pacific is expected to cross into the eastern Bering Sea between late Saturday night and midday Sunday. Confidence in the overall storm track has increased, but some uncertainty remains. Now, the most likely storm track is from the eastern Aleutians Sunday morning to near Nunivak Island by Monday afternoon. For the Eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula, the most likely impact is strong southeasterly winds becoming southwesterly as the storm passes overhead sometime Sunday afternoon. With higher confidence in the track, the storm's timing and strength will determine the severity of the impacts, so stay tuned to the forecast for more details. For Southwest Alaska, the most likely scenario is gusty southeasterly winds from the Western Capes north into the greater Y-K Delta region. Precipitation along the leading storm front is likely to be snow, but a transition to freezing rain and rain is expected as the storm moves north. Given the recent snow and cold temperatures, rain falling onto frozen or snow-covered ground is likely to create difficult travel conditions. The scenario in which the low moves near Nunivak Island is more likely at this point, but the limited fetch and lower tide cycle should help mitigate storm surge from this storm. Even so, the potential for minor coastal flooding in the Kuskokwim Delta remains. Stay tuned to the forecast as we continue to monitor this system.

* AFFECTED AREAS: KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST AND NUNIVAK ISLAND ... INTERIOR KUSKOKWIM DELTA ... WESTERN CAPES ... CENTRAL ALASKA PENINSULA ... NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY COAST ... SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA ... EASTERN ALEUTIANS ... PRIBILOF ISLANDS